FXIS Market Insights

The updated Long-Term Budget Outlook from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) is out.

What a surprise, the previously optimistic forecasts by the US administration do not appear to come to fruition.
The CBO is hedging their bets now with what they call an "alternative fiscal scenario".

The budget outlook is much bleaker under the alternative fiscal scenario.
Debt as a share of GDP would exceed its historical peak of 109 percent by 2025 and would reach 185 percent in 2035.

A very gloomy picture is starting to emerge, looking at the projections.

Source: www.cbo.gov

We are not quite there yet, the current numbers are still somewhat better than other debt-ridden economies.

 

USA	Greece
External debt (as % of GDP): 96.5%   Gross external debt: $13.77 trillion (2009 Q3)   2009 GDP (est): $14.26 trillion	External debt (as % of GDP): 170.5%   Gross external debt: $581.68 billion   2009 GDP (est): $341 billion

Source: http://www.cnbc.com/id/30308959/The_World_s_Biggest_Debtor_Nations

 

However, given the projections under the “alternative scenario”, should anyone still be laughing at Greece?

As I mentioned a few backs back, we should heed the wake up call from Greece.

Good luck and good investing!